Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.050976 0.060183 0.070496 0.082895 0.097385 0.113775 0.133711
2025-06-15 0.037421 0.049485 0.064512 0.084558 0.110553 0.143075 0.186808
2025-06-22 0.028563 0.041278 0.058481 0.083359 0.118306 0.165531 0.234064
2025-06-29 0.022479 0.034988 0.053120 0.081156 0.123224 0.183779 0.277298
2025-07-06 0.018074 0.030022 0.048417 0.078562 0.126456 0.199255 0.317861
2025-07-13 0.015708 0.027640 0.047010 0.080423 0.136232 0.225194 0.377031
2025-07-20 0.013614 0.025262 0.045120 0.081020 0.143790 0.248273 0.434293
2025-07-27 0.011946 0.023290 0.043526 0.081737 0.151423 0.272126 0.495510
2025-08-03 0.010631 0.021710 0.042330 0.082875 0.159777 0.297984 0.563089
2025-08-10 0.009691 0.020668 0.041926 0.085339 0.170742 0.329570 0.644507
2025-08-17 0.008269 0.018416 0.038858 0.082203 0.170608 0.340671 0.689085
2025-08-24 0.007342 0.017030 0.037285 0.081769 0.175605 0.361881 0.755269
2025-08-31 0.006442 0.015576 0.035402 0.080520 0.178993 0.380763 0.820077
2025-09-07 0.005918 0.014881 0.035038 0.082476 0.189377 0.415022 0.920557
2025-09-14 0.005237 0.013695 0.033407 0.081375 0.192970 0.435579 0.994742
2025-09-21 0.004582 0.012456 0.031456 0.079236 0.193914 0.450509 1.058454
2025-09-28 0.003995 0.011280 0.029470 0.076705 0.193568 0.462481 1.116911
2025-10-05 0.003717 0.010865 0.029281 0.078524 0.203777 0.499430 1.236656
2025-10-12 0.003406 0.010305 0.028640 0.079107 0.211029 0.530336 1.345821
2025-10-19 0.003133 0.009805 0.028077 0.079808 0.218659 0.562993 1.462951
2025-10-26 0.002905 0.009394 0.027691 0.080920 0.227494 0.599577 1.593928
2025-11-02 0.002747 0.009165 0.027772 0.083328 0.240074 0.646912 1.757305
2025-11-09 0.002414 0.008329 0.026002 0.080263 0.237405 0.655091 1.821111